Thursday, June 19, 2003

The Dismantling of America At least no one is being shy about it any longer; the Republican agenda for destroying America as we know it is being outted all over the place. In this case, it's by no less a figure than Grover Norquist, President of Americans for Tax Reform. You know...they're the folks who want to see the checkout girl at Safeway paying her taxes at the same rate as Fortune 500 CEOs and fat-cat investment bankers. In a recent Washington Post op-ed (see below), Grover elaborates on his messianic vision by implying that once a flat tax rate is achieved, it will "unite all taxpayers" toward keeping that rate low. Sorry fella, but I just can't even imagine being united with the likes of Ken Lay or Martha Stewart on much of anything. So what's the real motivation for a flat tax rate? For one thing, it'll have to be high enough to make the US look much less attractive to immigrants, which might be to Mr. Norquist's liking. More likely, it is the squeezing effect it would have on the Federal government, which would shrink so severely as to catapult us back two centuries in terms of government role in society. In other words, the America we have come to know, love and rely on would disappear forever. Remember the Constitution?
We the people of the United States, in order to form a more perfect union, establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.
Establish justice? How about no money left for indigent defendants of federal crimes? Insure domestic tranquility? Where's the money for all those airport security guards going to come from? Provide for the common defense? That already pretty well limited to making the world safe for American and British oil interests. Promote the general welfare? Watch Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security become ghosts of their former selves as payments become worthless in the inevitable inflation flamed by deficit spending. Secure the blessings of liberty? How do you do that with an ignorant public after public education is cut off? I'm afraid our Perfect Union would be history, and I fear for our posterity. Grover did make one very interesting observation. He pointed out the mistake which the Clintons made in trying to reform health care in one big gulp. He contrasts it with W's strategy of squeezing federal revenues one step at a time. Hillary: keep it in mind for 08!
Step-by-Step Tax Reform By Grover Norquist The Washington Post Monday, June 9, 2003; Page A21 President Ronald Reagan enacted one significant tax cut in 1981 -- and then allowed a series of smaller tax increases almost every year of his presidency. Another tax cut did not follow until 1997. President Bush has proposed and now signed tax cuts in 2001, 2002 and 2003. The old Republican promise was that a new president would fight for one tax cut and then oppose tax hikes. The new Republican policy is an annual tax cut. The strategy of annual tax cuts has united the center-right coalition and avoided the sort of conflict that bedeviled the 1981 tax cut, when K Street pushed to include its favorite industry or corporation-specific tax change at the cost of paring back Reagan's proposed 30 percent cut in marginal tax rates. Businesses were rightly concerned that this would be the last tax cut for some time. Bush's 2001 tax cut received strong business support, even though it was completely aimed at individual taxpayers. Why? Because the best way to "lobby" to be in next year's tax cut is to cheerfully support the president's tax cut this year. The Bush administration -- wisely -- has not proposed fundamental tax reform in a single piece of legislation. But the president has been taking deliberate steps toward such reform with each tax cut. There are five steps to a single-rate tax, which taxes income one time: Abolish the death tax, abolish the capital gains tax, expand IRAs so that all savings are tax-free, move to full expensing of business investment rather than long depreciation schedules and abolish the alternative minimum tax. Put a single rate on the new tax base and you have Steve Forbes and Dick Armey's flat tax. Each of the Bush tax cuts, past and proposed, moves us toward fundamental tax reform. The step-by-step annual tax cut avoids the problem that faced Bill and Hillary Clinton's too ambitious effort to nationalize health care in one gulp: It is easy to stop oversized reforms. Conservatives want to move to a flat-rate income tax for both economic and political reasons. The economic goal is to reduce the tax rate on labor and capital and reduce the disincentives to savings, investment and work. The political goal is to unite all taxpayers. When taxpayers are divided into different tax brackets, they can be mugged one at a time through the "divide, isolate and tax" strategy that Clinton pursued when he promised to tax "just the top 2 percent" of earners. Bush's surprising call to abolish the double taxation of dividend income was a recognition that the U.S. economy has fundamentally changed. In the aftermath of the Great Depression, the single political measure of the economy's health was the unemployment rate. After the Great Inflation of the 1970s, inflation became an equal measure of economic well-being, and Jimmy Carter added together the unemployment rate and inflation rate to create the "Misery Index." Today, with 70 percent of voters owning shares of stock, there is a third measure: the value of the stock market. Politicians used to like to "hide" tax increases in taxes on corporations. Now 70 percent of voters understand that looting big business is actually looting their retirement portfolios. When Tom Daschle said that cutting taxes on investors was cutting taxes for the "wrong people," he was reminding voters that the Democratic leadership still thinks the American economy is in the 1930s, with only the Rockefellers and Kennedys owning stock. In crafting its agenda for economic reform, the Bush administration has the luxury of being able to think and plan over a full eight years. This is because the 2002 redistricting gave Republicans a lock on the House of Representatives until 2012 and the Founding Fathers gerrymandered the Senate for Republican control. In the 50-50 election that was 2000, Bush carried 30 states and Al Gore 20. Over time, a reasonably competent Republican Party will tend to 60 Republicans in the Senate. This guarantee of united Republican government has allowed the Bush administration to work and think long-term. Reagan could move in bursts, using his political capital from the 1980 and 1984 elections to push through key reforms, but then the Democratic majority in the House would slow or stop most other initiatives. The Bush administration can plan over an eight-year period, moving various initiatives at different paces. Progress need not come in short, fleeting moments of political strength. One sees this longer time horizon not only in the annual tax cuts that move slowly toward a flat rate income tax, but also in the decades-long move to free trade in the hemisphere and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Zoellick's call for zero tariffs on manufactured goods within 10 to 15 years, the focus on transformation in the Defense Department, reforms in personnel management and the Social Security changes that will take a generation to phase in. The Pentagon used to debate whether we had enough strength to fight two wars at the same time. The Bush administration is demonstrating that it can operate successfully on two fronts, fighting the war on terrorism and at the same time embarking on fundamental economic reform.

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